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International week (AGAIN)


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They always seem to prop up and are a bit boring, but at least there is slight interest this week with things at stake.

 

Its been refreshing to see the likes of austria, iceland and czech rep qualifying with ease plus norn ireland a d wales on the brink.

 

Scotland still in with a good chance although i am not sure who the 9th team is at the moment who would miss out on a playoff, which is extremely harsh. I cant see ireland beating germany so a win v poland practically guarentees 3rd, yet a draw or an ireland win makes it look tricky as ireland and poland could play out a draw in the last game.

 

Its good germany still have something to play for tonight, i hope they put on a real show in dublin, then you wouldnt put it past that happening and scotland losing to poland.

 

The dutch have it all to do in their group, but turkey have two tough fixtures.

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POSSIBLE OUTCOMES

 

1. Scotland beat Poland and Gibraltar; Ireland lose to Germany and Poland

 

Scotland have to beat both Poland and Gibraltar to have the best chance of securing third.

 

Two wins for the Scots would take them on to 17 points, and that vital third spot, with Germany topping the group on 22 points and Poland coming second with 20 points.

 

2. Scotland draw with Poland and beat Gibraltar; Ireland lose to Germany and Poland

 

This scenario would also be enough to land that third place, with Germany finishing first, Poland second and Scotland third - qualifying via UEFA’s head-to-head ruling.

 

Poland and Scotland drew 2-2 in Warsaw, but the Poles defeated Germany 2-0, Georgia 4-0 and put a combined 15 goals past Gibraltar over their two meetings - so don’t bet against Lewandowski and Co pulling off a result against the Irish with home advantage.

 

However, in the last ten meetings between the two countries, there have been six draws, two Irish wins and two Polish wins, with the first Group D meeting ending in a 1-1 draw - so it could be tight in Warsaw on October 11.

 

3. Scotland beat Poland and Gibraltar; Ireland beat Germany but lose to / draw with Poland

 

This would be the worst way to miss out on third. If Ireland can shock Germany in Dublin on October 8 but then fail to beat Poland, Scotland would miss out on that coveted third spot even if they had registered wins against Poland and Gibraltar.

 

4. Scotland lose to Poland

 

Good night Vienna, or rather, Paris.

 

Failure to secure any sort of favourable result against Poland would render the final match meaningless for Scotland, with Poland guaranteed a second or third place finish no matter what happens in the other matches.

 

But let’s not think about that happening.

 

REMAINING FIXTURES

 

October 8: Georgia v Gibraltar

 

October 8: Ireland v Germany

 

October 8: SCOTLAND v Poland

 

October 11: Germany v Georgia

 

October 11: Gibraltar v SCOTLAND

 

October 11: Poland v Ireland

 

http://www.scotsman.com/sport/football/latest/how-can-scotland-qualify-for-euro-2016-play-offs-1-3910254

Edited by ian1964
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I wonder what the odds are on Wales screwing things up again. Bosnia can still make the play offs if they win and Israel lose so they have something to play for. Tricky place to go.

 

But Andorra at home, not winning that would be like Rangers result at Stirling under Ally.

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