Rousseau

Didn't you make a post about this a while back?

The shot map (with Silva's goal highlighted) from the game shows the shots are either wide or outside the box (except for Dessers' two), which are not usually positions we score from:

Every shot, off target, blocked, saved, hits the post, scored, has a xG probability. Yes, those shots had a low probability of us scoring from them. On average, we would have only scored 1 to 2 goals from those chances. That's not unusual: We scored from a few low probability shots, scoring from difficult chances, yet miss a few chances with a higher probability. It chances one's perception. That's why I like xG: it takes out the subjectivity we all see. Just imagine a penalty: everyone should be scoring every time, but it doesn't work like that; If you add up all the penalties taken over the last few decades, 79% are scored (0.79 xG). In a single match Tavernier can score 2 penalties, over-performing his xG, but over the course of the season he will score around 79% of his penalties.

Incredibly efficient. xG is based on historical data: to put it simply, it is based on how many times a goal has been scored from a certain position in the past. (In reality an xG model takes into account many variables, not just position). For example, Fabio Silva's shot had an xG of 0.16, meaning that out of the thousands of past shots from that position, a goal has been scored 16% of the time. You won't see many goals from that position, compared to Dessers' second, for example (0.35 xG). xG fluctuates match to match (consider the previous match where we had an xG of 4.9, yet only scored 3, against County) , but over the course of several games it is fairly accurate in predicting how many goals we score. Remember how I said Dessers has an xG of 13 for the season, and has scored 12 in reality. It's fairly close, but I would predict these numbers will come closer over the remainder of the season.

Was the lad that's been linked with Arsenal playing?

Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Rangers FGS Dessers

Kilmarnock vs Rangers

I almost took out a blue card...

Any word on Sima? I presume because he's not returned to Brighton that he will be back for the league run-in?

What are your thoughts, folks?

It's good. My point was he's doing well, but still underperforming his xG, so there's more to come.

Turnbull has left, and Oh barely plays, so I still see Dessers as the standout.

He's still even underperforming his xG, too:

Don't be stupid. £30m

Of course. How many times has @Bill criticised Taverneir only for him to score two seconds later...

I think a big part of it is playing to his strengths, rather than asking him to be something he's not.

You had to bring up Rugby Park. I'm going to have the fear all night now...

As you were. Correct Result (1 pt): Everyone who entered (except Mal). Correct Number of Rangers Goals (1pt): - FGS (2 pts): - Correct Score (3 pts): - Latest Standings:

Careful. Juju.

I vaguely recall. I still think this is more impressive.

That's almost 25 minutes without a goal! Clement out!

Forgot about that. Diddies, though. Hearts are in form.